Global primary energy demand is set to increase from around 291 million barrels of oil equivalent per day (mboe/d) in 2022 to close to 359 mboe/d in 2045, an increase of 68.3 mboe/d, or 23% over the outlook period. Growth is expected to slow gradually from the relatively high short-term rates to more modest long-term increments, in line with moderating population and economic growth. Energy demand growth will be driven by the non-OECD region, which is set to increase by 69 mboe/d over the outlook period. Around 28% of non- OECD growth is expected to come from India alone. At the same time, energy demand in OECD countries is set to marginally decline in the outlook period.
Demand for all primary fuels is set to increase in the long-term, with the exception of coal due to energy policy and climate commitments. The strongest growth is expected for other renewables (notably wind and solar), which will increase by34.3 mboe/d, based on strong policy support in many regions. The share of other renewables in the energy mix is set to rise from around 2.7% in 2022 to 11.7%in 2045. Oil demand will grow strongly too, and even though its share in the energy mix declines modestly, oil will remain the fuel with the largest share by 2045 at 29.5%. Natural gas demand is set to increase by 20 mboe/d over the outlook period, reaching 87 mboe/d in 2045. The share of fossil fuels in the energy mix will drop from above 80% in 2022 to about 69% in 2045, due to the decline of coal. In the same period, the combined share of oil and gas in the energy mix still represents 54% in 2045
Source: OPEC
Source: OPEC
Source: OPEC
Source: OPEC
Source: OPEC
Source: OPEC
Source: Ember
Source: OPEC
Source: OPEC
Source: IAEA
Source: IAEA
Source: OPEC
Source: OPEC
Source: OPEC
Source: OPEC
Source: OPEC
Source: OPEC
Source: OPEC
Source: OPEC
Source: OPEC
Source: OPEC
Source: OPEC
| Levels (mboe/d) | Growth (mboe/d) | Growth (% p.a.) | Fuel share (%) | |||||||
| 2022 | 2025 | 2030 | 2035 | 2040 | 2045 | 2022-2045 | 2022-2045 | 2022 | 2045 | |
| Oil | 90.7 | 96.4 | 102.0 | 104.3 | 105.3 | 106.1 | 15.4 | 0.7 | 31.2 | 29.5 |
| Coal | 75.9 | 74.6 | 71.1 | 65.9 | 60.0 | 54.4 | -21.5 | -1.4 | 26.1 | 15.1 |
| Gas | 67.1 | 69.6 | 75.0 | 80.2 | 84.4 | 87.0 | 20.0 | 1.1 | 23.1 | 24.2 |
| Nuclear | 15.0 | 15.9 | 17.4 | 19.4 | 21.7 | 23.8 | 8.8 | 2.0 | 5.2 | 6.6 |
| Hydro | 7.7 | 8.2 | 8.9 | 9.6 | 10.2 | 10.5 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 2.9 |
| Biomass | 26.6 | 27.9 | 30.2 | 32.3 | 34.1 | 35.2 | 8.6 | 1.2 | 9.1 | 9.8 |
| Other renewables | 7.9 | 11.2 | 18.5 | 26.7 | 35.8 | 42.2 | 34.3 | 7.5 | 2.7 | 11.7 |
| Total | 290.9 | 303.9 | 322.9 | 338.3 | 351.6 | 359.2 | 68.3 | 0.9 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Levels (mboe/d) | Growth (mboe/d) | Growth (% p.a.) | Share (%) | |||||||
| 2022 | 2025 | 2030 | 2035 | 2040 | 2045 | 2022-2045 | 2022-2045 | 2022 | 2045 | |
| OECD Americas | 55.4 | 55.4 | 56.4 | 56.6 | 56.4 | 55.9 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 15.6 |
| OECD Europe | 33.7 | 34.0 | 33.9 | 33.4 | 32.7 | 32.0 | -1.7 | -0.2 | 11.6 | 8.9 |
| OECD Asia-Pacific | 17.5 | 17.7 | 17.9 | 18.0 | 18.0 | 18.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 6.0 | 5.0 |
| OECD | 106.6 | 107.1 | 108.2 | 108.0 | 107.1 | 105.9 | -0.7 | 0.0 | 36.7 | 29.5 |
| China | 71.3 | 75.2 | 78.1 | 78.7 | 78.1 | 77.4 | 6.1 | 0.4 | 24.5 | 21.6 |
| India | 19.2 | 21.3 | 25.4 | 29.7 | 34.1 | 38.5 | 19.3 | 3.1 | 6.6 | 10.7 |
| OPEC | 20.3 | 22.8 | 26.4 | 29.6 | 32.6 | 34.7 | 14.4 | 2.4 | 7.0 | 9.7 |
| Other DCs | 50.3 | 54.2 | 61.1 | 68.2 | 75.0 | 77.1 | 26.8 | 1.9 | 17.3 | 21.5 |
| Russia | 15.7 | 15.5 | 15.4 | 15.3 | 15.2 | 15.2 | -0.5 | -0.1 | 5.4 | 4.2 |
| Other Eurasia | 7.5 | 7.8 | 8.3 | 8.9 | 9.5 | 10.4 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 2.9 |
| Non-OECD | 184.3 | 196.8 | 214.7 | 230.3 | 244.5 | 253.3 | 69.0 | 1.4 | 63.3 | 70.5 |
| World | 290.9 | 303.9 | 322.9 | 338.3 | 351.6 | 359.2 | 68.3 | 0.9 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Levels (mboe/d) | Growth (mboe/d) | Growth (% p.a.) | Fuel share (%) | |||||||
| 2022 | 2025 | 2030 | 2035 | 2040 | 2045 | 2022-2045 | 2022-2045 | 2022 | 2045 | |
| Oil | 39.5 | 39.7 | 39.1 | 36.8 | 33.7 | 30.8 | -8.7 | -1.1 | 37.0 | 29.0 |
| Coal | 14.0 | 12.6 | 10.5 | 8.8 | 7.3 | 6.0 | -7.9 | -3.6 | 13.1 | 5.7 |
| Gas | 30.0 | 29.7 | 29.8 | 29.8 | 29.6 | 28.9 | -1.1 | -0.2 | 28.1 | 27.3 |
| Nuclear | 10.0 | 10.1 | 10.4 | 10.8 | 11.4 | 11.8 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 9.4 | 11.1 |
| Hydro | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 2.8 |
| Biomass | 6.8 | 7.3 | 8.0 | 8.7 | 9.4 | 10.1 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 6.4 | 9.5 |
| Other renewables | 3.8 | 5.0 | 7.6 | 10.3 | 12.9 | 15.4 | 11.6 | 6.2 | 3.6 | 14.5 |
| Total | 106.6 | 107.1 | 108.2 | 108.0 | 107.1 | 105.9 | -0.7 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Levels (mboe/d) | Growth (mboe/d) | Growth (% p.a.) | Fuel share (%) | |||||||
| 2022 | 2025 | 2030 | 2035 | 2040 | 2045 | 2022-2045 | 2022-2045 | 2022 | 2045 | |
| Oil | 51.2 | 56.7 | 62.9 | 67.5 | 71.6 | 75.3 | 24.1 | 1.7 | 27.8 | 29.7 |
| Coal | 62.0 | 62.0 | 60.5 | 57.1 | 52.8 | 48.4 | -13.6 | -1.1 | 33.6 | 19.1 |
| Gas | 37.1 | 39.9 | 45.2 | 50.4 | 54.8 | 58.1 | 21.0 | 2.0 | 20.1 | 22.9 |
| Nuclear | 5.0 | 5.8 | 7.0 | 8.6 | 10.4 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 3.9 | 2.7 | 4.7 |
| Hydro | 5.2 | 5.5 | 6.2 | 6.8 | 7.4 | 7.6 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 3.0 |
| Biomass | 19.8 | 20.7 | 22.2 | 23.5 | 24.6 | 25.2 | 5.4 | 1.1 | 10.7 | 9.9 |
| Other renewables | 4.1 | 6.2 | 10.8 | 16.5 | 22.9 | 26.8 | 22.7 | 8.5 | 2.2 | 10.6 |
| Total | 184.3 | 196.8 | 214.7 | 230.3 | 244.5 | 253.3 | 69.0 | 1.4 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Levels (mboe/d) | Growth (mboe/d) | Growth (% p.a.) | Fuel share (%) | |||||||
| 2022 | 2025 | 2030 | 2035 | 2040 | 2045 | 2022-2045 | | 2022 | | |
| Oil | 14.1 | 15.8 | 16.7 | 17.0 | 17.3 | 17.4 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 19.7 | 22.5 |
| Coal | 41.6 | 40.9 | 37.8 | 33.2 | 28.2 | 23.7 | -17.9 | -2.4 | 58.3 | 30.7 |
| Gas | 5.8 | 6.6 | 8.0 | 9.2 | 9.9 | 10.2 | 4.4 | 2.5 | 8.1 | 13.2 |
| Nuclear | 2.5 | 3.1 | 3.9 | 4.9 | 6.0 | 6.8 | 4.3 | 4.5 | 3.4 | 8.8 |
| Hydro | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 3.3 | 3.9 |
| Biomass | 2.8 | 3.1 | 3.6 | 3.9 | 4.2 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 5.7 |
| Other renewables | 2.2 | 3.3 | 5.4 | 7.7 | 9.7 | 11.8 | 9.5 | 7.5 | 3.1 | 15.2 |
| Total | 71.3 | 75.2 | 78.1 | 78.7 | 78.1 | 77.4 | 6.1 | 0.4 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Levels (mboe/d) | Growth (mboe/d) | Growth (% p.a.) | Fuel share (%) | |||||||
| 2022 | 2025 | 2030 | 2035 | 2040 | 2045 | 2022-2045 | 2022-2045 | 2022 | 2045 | |
| Oil | 5.1 | 5.8 | 7.3 | 8.7 | 10.1 | 11.6 | 6.5 | 3.6 | 26.7 | 30.1 |
| Coal | 8.3 | 9.0 | 10.4 | 11.6 | 12.5 | 12.8 | 4.5 | 1.9 | 43.3 | 33.2 |
| Gas | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 3.1 | 6.2 | 5.3 | 10.6 |
| Nuclear | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 7.1 | 1.4 | 3.3 |
| Hydro | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| Biomass | 3.9 | 4.0 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 20.2 | 10.9 |
| Other renewables | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 3.9 | 3.6 | 11.5 | 1.7 | 10.1 |
| Total | 19.2 | 21.3 | 25.4 | 29.7 | 34.1 | 38.5 | 19.3 | 3.1 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Levels (mboe/d) | Growth (mboe/d) | Growth (% p.a.) | Fuel share (%) | |||||||
| 2022 | 2025 | 2030 | 2035 | 2040 | 2045 | 2022-2045 | 2022-2045 | 2022 | 2045 | |
| OECD Americas | 20.7 | 20.9 | 21.1 | 20.2 | 18.9 | 17.4 | -3.3 | -0.7 | 22.8 | 16.4 |
| OECD Europe | 11.9 | 11.9 | 11.5 | 10.5 | 9.4 | 8.5 | -3.5 | -1.5 | 13.2 | 8.0 |
| OECD Asia-Pacific | 6.9 | 6.9 | 6.6 | 6.0 | 5.4 | 4.9 | -2.0 | -1.5 | 7.6 | 4.6 |
| OECD | 39.5 | 39.7 | 39.1 | 36.8 | 33.7 | 30.8 | -8.7 | -1.1 | 43.5 | 29.0 |
| China | 14.1 | 15.8 | 16.7 | 17.0 | 17.3 | 17.4 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 15.5 | 16.4 |
| India | 5.1 | 5.8 | 7.3 | 8.7 | 10.1 | 11.6 | 6.5 | 3.6 | 5.6 | 10.9 |
| OPEC | 8.6 | 9.9 | 11.0 | 11.7 | 12.3 | 12.7 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 9.5 | 11.9 |
| Other DCs | 18.2 | 19.7 | 22.1 | 24.2 | 26.1 | 27.8 | 9.5 | 1.8 | 20.1 | 26.2 |
| Russia | 3.3 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 3.7 | 3.4 |
| Other Eurasia | 1.8 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| Non-OECD | 51.2 | 56.7 | 62.9 | 67.5 | 71.6 | 75.3 | 24.1 | 1.7 | 56.5 | 71.0 |
| World | 90.7 | 96.4 | 102.0 | 104.3 | 105.3 | 106.1 | 15.4 | 0.7 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Levels (mboe/d) | Growth (mboe/d) | Growth (% p.a.) | Share (%) | |||||||
| 2022 | 2025 | 2030 | 2035 | 2040 | 2045 | 2022-2045 | 2022-2045 | 2022 | 2045 | |
| OECD Americas | 5.4 | 4.8 | 3.9 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 1.9 | -3.5 | -4.4 | 7.1 | 3.5 |
| OECD Europe | 4.1 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.9 | -3.2 | -6.3 | 5.4 | 1.7 |
| OECD Asia-Pacific | 4.5 | 4.3 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 3.5 | 3.2 | -1.3 | -1.4 | 5.9 | 5.9 |
| OECD | 14.0 | 12.6 | 10.5 | 8.8 | 7.3 | 6.0 | -7.9 | -3.6 | 18.4 | 11.1 |
| China | 41.6 | 40.9 | 37.8 | 33.2 | 28.2 | 23.7 | -17.9 | -2.4 | 54.8 | 43.7 |
| India | 8.3 | 9.0 | 10.4 | 11.6 | 12.5 | 12.8 | 4.5 | 1.9 | 10.9 | 23.5 |
| OPEC | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Other DCs | 8.0 | 8.2 | 8.7 | 8.9 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 10.6 | 16.6 |
| Russia | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.4 | -0.9 | -2.1 | 3.1 | 2.6 |
| Other Eurasia | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.3 | -0.3 | -1.0 | 2.1 | 2.4 |
| Non-OECD | 62.0 | 62.0 | 60.5 | 57.1 | 52.8 | 48.4 | -13.6 | -1.1 | 81.6 | 88.9 |
| World | 75.9 | 74.6 | 71.1 | 65.9 | 60.0 | 54.4 | -21.5 | -1.4 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Levels (mboe/d) | Growth (mboe/d) | Growth (% p.a.) | Share (%) | |||||||
| 2022 | 2025 | 2030 | 2035 | 2040 | 2045 | 2022-2045 | 2022-2045 | 2022 | 2045 | |
| OECD Americas | 18.9 | 18.7 | 18.9 | 19.1 | 19.1 | 18.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 28.2 | 21.7 |
| OECD Europe | 7.4 | 7.4 | 7.3 | 7.1 | 6.8 | 6.4 | -1.0 | -0.6 | 11.1 | 7.4 |
| OECD Asia-Pacific | 3.7 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 5.5 | 4.2 |
| OECD | 30.0 | 29.7 | 29.8 | 29.8 | 29.6 | 28.9 | -1.1 | -0.2 | 44.7 | 33.3 |
| China | 5.8 | 6.6 | 8.0 | 9.2 | 9.9 | 10.2 | 4.4 | 2.5 | 8.7 | 11.8 |
| India | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 3.1 | 6.2 | 1.5 | 4.7 |
| OPEC | 8.9 | 9.7 | 11.0 | 12.2 | 13.0 | 13.4 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 13.3 | 15.4 |
| Other DCs | 10.3 | 11.5 | 13.6 | 15.8 | 17.9 | 19.5 | 9.2 | 2.8 | 15.4 | 22.4 |
| Russia | 8.1 | 7.9 | 7.6 | 7.4 | 7.2 | 6.9 | -1.2 | -0.7 | 12.1 | 7.9 |
| Other Eurasia | 2.9 | 3.0 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 3.7 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4.3 | 4.6 |
| Non-OECD | 37.1 | 39.9 | 45.2 | 50.4 | 54.8 | 58.1 | 21.0 | 2.0 | 55.3 | 66.7 |
| World | 67.1 | 69.6 | 75.0 | 80.2 | 84.4 | 87.0 | 20.0 | 1.1 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Levels (mboe/d) | Growth (mboe/d) | Growth (% p.a.) | Share (%) | |||||||
| 2022 | 2025 | 2030 | 2035 | 2040 | 2045 | 2022-2045 | 2022-2045 | 2022 | 2045 | |
| OECD Americas | 4.9 | 4.8 | 4.9 | 5.0 | 5.1 | 5.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 32.7 | 21.7 |
| OECD Europe | 3.9 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 4.0 | 4.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 26.0 | 17.4 |
| OECD Asia-Pacific | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 3.3 | 7.9 | 10.5 |
| OECD | 10.0 | 10.1 | 10.4 | 10.8 | 11.4 | 11.8 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 66.6 | 49.6 |
| China | 2.5 | 3.1 | 3.9 | 4.9 | 6.0 | 6.8 | 4.3 | 4.5 | 16.3 | 28.6 |
| India | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 7.1 | 1.8 | 5.4 |
| OPEC | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 12.2 | 0.3 | 2.4 |
| Other DCs | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 2.6 |
| Russia | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 8.3 | 7.3 |
| Other Eurasia | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 3.9 | 4.1 |
| Non-OECD | 5.0 | 5.8 | 7.0 | 8.6 | 10.4 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 3.9 | 33.4 | 50.4 |
| World | 15.0 | 15.9 | 17.4 | 19.4 | 21.7 | 23.8 | 8.8 | 2.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Levels (mboe/d) | Growth (mboe/d) | Growth (% p.a.) | Share (%) | |||||||
| 2022 | 2025 | 2030 | 2035 | 2040 | 2045 | 2022-2045 | 2022-2045 | 2022 | 2045 | |
| OECD Americas | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 16.4 | 14.9 |
| OECD Europe | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 13.6 | 11.0 |
| OECD Asia-Pacific | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 2.3 |
| OECD | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 32.8 | 28.2 |
| China | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 30.5 | 28.5 |
| India | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 3.3 | 3.9 | 6.1 |
| OPEC | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 2.8 |
| Other DCs | 1.8 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 23.3 | 27.5 |
| Russia | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 4.9 | 4.5 |
| Other Eurasia | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| Non-OECD | 5.2 | 5.5 | 6.2 | 6.8 | 7.4 | 7.6 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 67.2 | 71.8 |
| World | 7.7 | 8.2 | 8.9 | 9.6 | 10.2 | 10.5 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Levels (mboe/d) | Growth (mboe/d) | Growth (% p.a.) | Share (%) | |||||||
| 2022 | 2025 | 2030 | 2035 | 2040 | 2045 | 2022-2045 | 2022-2045 | 2022 | 2045 | |
| OECD Americas | 2.8 | 3.0 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 3.7 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 10.6 | 11.4 |
| OECD Europe | 3.4 | 3.7 | 4.1 | 4.5 | 4.9 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 12.9 | 14.8 |
| OECD Asia-Pacific | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2.3 |
| OECD | 6.8 | 7.3 | 8.0 | 8.7 | 9.4 | 10.1 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 25.6 | 28.5 |
| China | 2.8 | 3.1 | 3.6 | 3.9 | 4.2 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 10.6 | 12.6 |
| India | 3.9 | 4.0 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 14.6 | 11.9 |
| OPEC | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 9.4 | 8.2 |
| Other DCs | 10.0 | 10.5 | 11.3 | 12.0 | 12.6 | 12.7 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 37.8 | 36.0 |
| Russia | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Other Eurasia | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| Non-OECD | 19.8 | 20.7 | 22.2 | 23.5 | 24.6 | 25.2 | 5.4 | 1.1 | 74.4 | 71.5 |
| World | 26.6 | 27.9 | 30.2 | 32.3 | 34.1 | 35.2 | 8.6 | 1.2 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Levels (mboe/d) | Growth (mboe/d) | Growth (% p.a.) | Share (%) | |||||||
| 2022 | 2025 | 2030 | 2035 | 2040 | 2045 | 2022-2045 | 2022-2045 | 2022 | 2045 | |
| OECD Americas | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3.1 | 4.3 | 5.6 | 6.9 | 5.5 | 7.1 | 18.0 | 16.4 |
| OECD Europe | 1.9 | 2.4 | 3.4 | 4.3 | 5.0 | 5.7 | 3.8 | 5.0 | 23.6 | 13.5 |
| OECD Asia-Pacific | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 7.4 | 6.7 | 6.5 |
| OECD | 3.8 | 5.0 | 7.6 | 10.3 | 12.9 | 15.4 | 11.6 | 6.2 | 48.3 | 36.5 |
| China | 2.2 | 3.3 | 5.4 | 7.7 | 9.7 | 11.8 | 9.5 | 7.5 | 28.0 | 27.9 |
| India | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 3.9 | 3.6 | 11.5 | 4.0 | 9.2 |
| OPEC | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 3.8 | 4.9 | 4.8 | 21.6 | 0.7 | 11.5 |
| Other DCs | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 4.1 | 5.7 | 4.5 | 3.1 | 5.2 | 17.9 | 10.8 |
| Russia | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 17.8 | 0.2 | 1.3 |
| Other Eurasia | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 13.6 | 0.8 | 2.8 |
| Non-OECD | 4.1 | 6.2 | 10.8 | 16.5 | 22.9 | 26.8 | 22.7 | 8.5 | 51.7 | 63.5 |
| World | 7.9 | 11.2 | 18.5 | 26.7 | 35.8 | 42.2 | 34.3 | 7.5 | 100.0 | 100.0 |