Chapters
Chapter 1 - Key assumptions
Chapter 2 - Energy demand
Chapter 3 - Oil demand
Chapter 4 - Liquids supply
Chapter 5 - Refining outlook
Chapter 6 - Oil movements
Chapter 7 - Energy scenarios
Chapter 8 - Key Challenges and Opportunities
Information
Abbreviations
Major data sources
OPEC World Energy: definitions of regions
World Oil Refining Logistics and Demand: regional definitions
About WOO
Acknowledgements
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World Oil Outlook 2045
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World Oil Outlook 2045

Chapter 8 - Energy scenarios

Scenarios assess alternative energy pathways

The global economy and energy system are at a critical juncture, characterized by great uncertainty. Nations and Parties to the UNFCCC are currently called on to collectively achieve ambitious emission reductions by accelerating action on an unprecedented scale in all key sectors, including energy, transport, buildings, and industry. At the same time, there are pressing needs to alleviate energy poverty and improve energy access and living conditions for people in many developing countries. To model these challenges, alternative scenarios were developed. These scenarios indicate that alternatives to the mainstream mitigation pathways focusing on renewables exist. Crucially, different pathways have varying socio-economic implications for different economies, with some routes likely unfairly impacting energy-exporting developing countries.

​Source: OPEC

* Note: Renewables include hydro, biomass and other renewables (e.g. wind, solar, geothermal).

 

​Source: OPEC

* Note: Renewables include hydro, biomass and other renewables (e.g. wind, solar, geothermal).

 

​Source: OPEC

* Note: Renewables include hydro, biomass and other renewables (e.g. wind, solar, geothermal).

 

Source: OPEC

* Note: Renewables include hydro, biomass and other renewables (e.g. wind, solar, geothermal).

 

Source: OPEC

 

Source: OPEC

 

Source: OPEC

 

​Source: OPEC

* Note: Wind & Other includes geothermal.

 

Source: OPEC

 

Source: OPEC

 

Source: OPEC

 

Source: OPEC

 

Source: OPEC