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Feature Article: Winter oil market outlook
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Feature Article: World oil market prospects for the second half of 2023
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Feature Article: Non-OPEC oil supply development
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Feature Article: Assessment of the global economy
February 2023
Feature Article: Review of global oil demand trend
January 2023
Feature Article: Monetary policies and their impact on the oil market
2022
December 2022
Review of 2022; outlook for 2023
November 2022
Global oil inventory developments
October 2022
Winter oil market outlook
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Review of the world economic development
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July 2022
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June 2022
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May 2022
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April 2022
Summer Oil Market Outlook
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Assessment of the global economy
February 2022
Review of global oil demand trend
January 2022
Monetary policies and their impact on the oil market
2021
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Review of 2021; outlook for 2022
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Development of global oil inventories
October 2021
Winter oil market outlook
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Assessment of the global economy in 2021 and 2022
August 2021
Crude and product price movements
July 2021
The outlook for the oil market in 2022
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World oil market prospects for the second half of 2021
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Non-OPEC oil supply development
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Assessment of the global economy
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Review of global oil demand trend
January 2021
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Review of 2020, outlook for 2021
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July 2020
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Assessment of the global economy
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January 2020
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2019
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Review of 2019; outlook for 2020
November 2019
Recent developments in global oil inventories
October 2019
Winter oil market outlook
September 2019
Review of global economic development
August 2019
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Review of global oil demand trend
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2018
December 2018
Feature article: Review of 2018; outlook for 2019
November 2018
Recent developments in global oil inventories
September 2018
Feature article: Review of global economic development
August 2018
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July 2018
Oil Market Outlook for 2019
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World oil market prospects for the second half of 2018
May 2018
Non-OPEC oil supply development
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Monetary policies and their impact on the oil market
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October 2022
Winter oil market outlook
October 2022
Winter oil market outlook

Commercial Stock Movements

Summary

Preliminary August data sees total OECD commercial oil stocks up m-o-m by 7.8 mb. At 2,712 mb, they were 111 mb less than the same time one year ago, 267 mb lower than the latest five-year average and 273 mb below the 2015-2019 average. Within the components, crude and product stocks rose m-o-m by 6.8 mb and 1.0 mb, respectively.

At 1,315 mb, OECD crude stocks were 0.7 mb lower than the same time a year ago, 105 mb below the latest five-year average and 133 mb lower than the 2015-2019 average. OECD product stocks stood at 1,398 mb, representing a deficit of 110 mb from the same time a year ago, 162 mb lower than the latest five-year average and 140 mb below the 2015-2019 average.

In terms of days of forward cover, OECD commercial stocks rose by 0.2 days m-o-m in August to stand at 59.3 days. This is 1.3 days below August 2021 levels, 5.0 days less than the latest five-year average and 3.8 days lower than the 2015-2019 average.

Preliminary data for September showed that total US commercial oil stocks fell by 4.2 mb m-o-m to stand at 1,221 mb. This is 30.0 mb, lower than the same month in 2021 and 88.0 mb, below the latest five-year average. Crude stocks rose by 2.0 mb, while product stocks fell by 6.2 mb.

 
 
 
 
 

Table 9 - 1

OECD’s commercial stocks, mb
       Change
OECD stocks Aug 21 Jun 22 Jul 22 Aug 22 Aug 22/Jul 22
Crude oil 1,315 1,294 1,308 1,315 6.8
Products 1,508 1,367 1,397 1,398 1.0
Total 2,823 2,661 2,705 2,712 7.8
Days of forward cover 60.6 58.3 59.1 59.3 0.2
 

Table 9 - 2

US onland commercial petroleum stocks, mb
       Change
US stocks Sep 21 Jul 22 Aug 22 Sep 22 Sep 22/Aug 22
Crude oil 420.3 424.2 427.2 429.2 2.0
Gasoline 227.0 225.6 214.8 207.5 -7.3
Distillate fuel 132.1 112.5 111.8 110.9 -0.9
Residual fuel oil 27.8 29.1 27.3 28.7 1.5
Jet fuel 42.0 41.2 38.7 36.2 -2.5
Total products 830.6 791.3 798.0 791.8 -6.2
Total 1,250.9 1,215.5 1,225.1 1,221.0 -4.2
SPR 617.8 468.0 442.5 416.4 -26.1
 

Table 9 - 3

Japan's commercial oil stocks, mb (At the end of the month. Includes crude oil and main products only.)
       Change
Japan's stocks Aug 21 Jun 22 Jul 22 Aug 22 Aug 22/Jul 22
Crude oil 67.1 59.8 60.1 64.2 4.1
Gasoline 10.0 10.0 8.9 9.7 0.7
Naphtha 9.4 9.6 9.3 8.1 -1.2
Middle distillates 29.8 22.3 24.7 26.6 1.9
Residual fuel oil 12.4 11.3 10.8 11.4 0.7
Total products 61.6 53.3 53.6 55.8 2.2
Total 128.7 113.1 113.7 120.0 6.3
 

Table 9 - 4

EU-15 plus UK and Norway's total oil stocks, mb
       Change
EU stocks Aug 21 Jun 22 Jul 22 Aug 22 Aug 22/Jul 22
Crude oil 433.7 434.4 432.8 432.5 -0.3
Gasoline 100.8 111.5 108.7 106.9 -1.8
Naphtha 24.3 30.3 29.9 29.0 -1.0
Middle distillates 428.3 370.0 365.5 359.6 -5.9
Fuel oils 62.5 60.5 59.7 59.4 -0.3
Total products 615.8 572.3 563.8 554.8 -8.9
Total 1,049.5 1,006.6 996.6 987.4 -9.2